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Manufacturing Biweekly Update

July 11, 2008 [past updates]




U.S. Manufacturing Trends Current Period Year-to-Date Previous Year
Wage Rates up up up
Profits down up up
Employment down down down
Production nochange up up
Capacity Utilization down up up
Productivity up up up
Exports na up up
Goods Shipments down up up


Biweekly Notes

GE Second-Quarter Sales Rise; Profit Meets Estimates:

General Electric Company, hurt by a slump in the first three months of the year, posted second- quarter earnings that matched analysts’ expectations on increased demand for power-plant turbines, jet engines and commercial loans, the Fairfield, Connecticut-based company said in a statement. GE’s Sales rose 11 percent to $46.9 billion from $42.38 billion a year earlier, beating the average estimate in a Bloomberg poll of a dozen analysts. “We believe we had a solid performance in a tough environment,” GE Chief Executive Jeff Immelt told analysts in a conference call today.
Profit rose in four of six segments; at GE Infrastructure, GE Healthcare, GE Commercial Finance, and NBC Universal. GE Money, the consumer finance group, fell less than forecast. GE is the world’s biggest maker of power-plants, turbines jet engines and medical-imaging equipment.

Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=aDOIi_6WahvE&refer=us

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U.S. Manufacturing Key Facts

Manufacturing Wage Rates (Updated)

  • In June 2008, average hourly earnings in manufacturing were $17.73, up 0.4 percent from May’s $17.66 (revised), and up 2.6 percent from $17.28 in June 2007.

    (BLS/DOL Employment data from “The Employment Situation: June 2008, USDL 08-0928,” released July 3, 2008; next release is August 1, 2008)
    http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf

Manufacturing Wage Rates (Quarterly, Yearly)

  • The average hourly compensation of all manufacturing workers grew 7.9 Percent (from previous quarter, at annual rate) in the first quarter of 2008, reflecting increases in hourly compensation of 7.5 percent in durable goods industries and 8.5 percent in the nondurable goods sector.
    For the first quarter of 2008, real hourly compensation, which takes into account of changes in consumer prices, rose 3.5 percent in total manufacturing workers after increasing 2.7 percent in the previous quarter. Manufacturing real hourly compensation rose 3.1 percent in durable goods industries and grew 4.0 percent in non-durables.

  • In 2007, hourly compensation of all manufacturing workers increased 5.6 percent, compared to a 2.8 percent rise in 2006. Real hourly compensation in total manufacturing sector increased 2.7 percent in 2007 after decreasing 0.5 percent in 2006.

    (BLS/DOL Productivity data from “Productivity and Costs, USDL 08-0756,” released June 4, 2008; next release is August 8, 2008)
    http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/prod2.pdf

       

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Manufacturing Profits

  • Manufacturing profits in the first quarter of 2008 were $224.3 billion, down 20.0 percent or $56 billion (at an annual rate) from $280.3 billion in the fourth quarter.
    Compared with the first quarter profits of 2007, manufacturing profits were down $74.6 billion in the first quarter of 2008. Manufacturing profits in 2007 were up $12.3 billion above manufacturing profits in 2006.
    First quarter 2008 profits for all non-financial industries (manufacturing being a subcategory) were down 15 percent from the fourth quarter of 2007 to $827.7 billion, and below 15.9 percent from the first quarter of 2007.

    (BEA/DOC GDP data from “Gross Domestic Product and Corporate Profits, BEA 08-30,”released June 26, 2008; next release is August 28, 2008)
    http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/2007/txt/gdp307f.txt

       

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Manufacturing Employment  (Updated)

  • Manufacturing employment in June, 2008, decreased 33,000 to 13.5 million from May’s (revised) manufacturing employment levels. The decline was registered in both durable and non-durable sub-sectors. Within durable goods, employment continued to decline in industries related to construction, such as Wood Products (-5,600), Fabricated Metals Products (-9,300), Nonmetallic mineral products (-1,200), and Furniture and Related Products (-600). In addition, job losses were reported in Computer and Electronic Products (-1,300), Machinery (-2,300) and Miscellaneous Manufacturing (-2,200). However, employment grew in Transportation Equipment (7,100), largely reflecting the return of workers from strikes and related shutdowns.
    In the non-durable goods sector, job losses were registered in Food Manufacturing (-2,700), Beverages and Tobacco Products (-1,100), Textile Mills (-3,200), Plastic and Rubber Products (-1,300), Printing and Related Support Activities (-5,800), and Apparel (-1,300), among others. However, job gains were reported in Petroleum and Coal Products (800), Chemicals (200), and Leather and Allied Products (300). Over the past 12 months, manufacturing has lost 353,000 jobs.

  • Nonetheless, manufacturing employs 13.5 million workers and represents 9.8 percent of total non-farm employment.

    (BLS/DOL Employment data from “The Employment Situation: June 2008, USDL 08-0928,” released July 3, 2008; next release is August 1, 2008)
    http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf

       

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Manufacturing Production

  • In May 2008, manufacturing output was unchanged after declining by 0.9 percent in April.
    The production indexes for both durable and nondurable manufacturing industries were also unchanged. Among durable goods industries, increases were reported in several key sector including Electrical equipment, appliances and components (1.2%); Motor vehicles and parts (1.0%); Computer and electronic products (0.5%); Fabricated metal products (0.3%); and Miscellaneous manufacturing (1.1%). Decreases were recorded in the indexes for Wood products (-2.2%); Nonmetallic mineral products (-0.5%); Machinery (-1.5%); Aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment (-0.7%), and Furniture (-0.4%). Among nondurable manufacturing industries, reductions occurred in the indexes for Food (-0.2); Apparel and leather (-0.9%); Paper (-0.5%); and Petroleum and coal products (-0.4%). The production declines in these industries were offset by higher output for Textile and product mills (0.2%); Chemicals (0.6%); and Plastics and rubber products (0.3%). The production of non-NAICS manufacturing (logging and publishing) fell for a second consecutive month and has fallen 4.7 percent over the past 12 months.

    (Federal Reserve Statistical data from “Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization, G17 (419),” released June 17, 2008; next release is, July 16, 2008)
    http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/Current/g17.pdf

       

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Manufacturing Capacity Utilization

  • In May 2008, manufacturing industries (NAICS based) operated at 77.6 percent of capacity, 1.9 percentage points below their 1972-2007 average of 79.5 percent and 0.1 percentage points less than their revised capacity utilization in April 2008.
    In durable manufacturing, capacity utilization decreased 0.2 percentage points in May from April (revised) to 75.2 percent. Capacity utilization moved up in Electrical equipment, appliances and components (0.8%); Motor vehicles and parts (0.6%); Fabricated metals products (0.2%); and Miscellaneous manufacturing (0.6%). Nonetheless, capacity utilization decreased in Wood products (-1.4%); Machinery (-1.2%); Aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment (-0.7%); and Nonmetallic mineral products (-0.4%), among others.

  • In May 2008, capacity utilization in non-durable manufacturing was unchanged from April 2008 (revised) to 80.3 percent. Decreased capacity utilization was reported in Food, beverage and tobacco products (-0.2%); Apparel and leather (-0.5%); Paper (-0.4%); Printing and support (-1.0%); and Petroleum and coal products (-0.4%). These losses were offset by higher output for Textile and product mills (0.3%); Chemicals (0.4%); and Plastics and rubber products (0.1%).

    (Federal Reserve Statistical data from “Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization, G17 (419),” released June 17, 2008; next release is, July 16, 2008)
    http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/Current/g17.pdf

       

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Manufacturing Productivity

  • Manufacturing productivity grew at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.6 percent in the first quarter of 2008, reflecting a 1.2 percent decrease in output and a 4.7 percent decrease in hours. This was the largest decline in hours since a 6.3 percent drop in the third quarter of 2003.

  • In durable goods industries, productivity increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.6 percent in the first quarter of 2008, as output and hours decreased by 0.9 percent and 3.4 percent, respectively. In nondurable goods industries, output per hour rose 5.7 percent, the highest rate in three years, reflecting decreases of 1.6 percent in output and 6.9 percent in hours.

  • Total manufacturing productivity grew 4.0 percent (seasonally adjusted annual rate) from the first quarter of 2007 to the first quarter of 2008.

  • Strong productivity growth has resulted in the decline in manufacturing employment.

    (BLS/DOL Productivity data from “Productivity and Costs, USDL 08-0756,” released June 4, 2008; next release is August 8, 2008)
    http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/prod2.pdf

       

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Manufacturing Trade (Updated)

  • Year to date May 2008, U.S. manufactured goods exports accounted for 60.8 percent of all U.S. exports of goods and services, compared with 62.8 percent a year ago. During that same period, manufactured goods exports were up 14.5 percent above year ago levels, while imports were up 5.3 percent. The trade deficit in manufactures improved to $444.2 billion (annual rate) for 2008, down from $507.3 billion a year earlier.

    (Census/BEA/DOC Foreign Trade Statistics data from “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, CB08-104, BEA08-33, FT 900,” released July 11, 2008; next release is August 12, 2008)
    http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/Press-Release/current_press_release/ft900.pdf

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Manufactured Goods Shipments

  • Shipments of manufactured durable goods in May 2008 decreased $2.3 billion or 1.1 percent to $211.3 billion. This followed a 1.8 percent April increase.
    Transportation equipment had the largest decrease, down $2.0 billion or 3.7 percent to $51.9 billion. The next largest percentage decrease was in Computers and electronic products (-2.2 percent). However, shipments increased in Primary metals (1.1 percent), Machinery (0.5 percent) and Electrical equipment, appliances and components (0.6 percent).

    (Census Bureau/DOC data from “Manufacturers’ Shipments, Inventories and Orders (M3-1 (08)-05, CB08-99),” released June 25, 2008; next release is July 25, 2008)
    http://www.census.gov/indicator/www/m3/adv/pdf/durgd.pdf

       

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Manufactured Goods Prices

  • In May 2008, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for finished goods, except foods and energy, turned up 0.2 percent after moving up 0.4 percent in April. The index for finished energy goods increased 4.9 percent in May following a 0.2 percent decrease in the previous month. Conversely, partially offsetting the upturn in finished energy goods prices, the advance in the index for residential electric power slowed to 0.6 percent in May from 1.2 percent a month earlier. Prices for residential natural gas rose 3.8 percent in May from 5.4 percent in the prior month.
    The index for gasoline rose 9.3 percent in May following a 4.6 percent decrease in April. The indexes for home heating oil, and liquefied petroleum gas increased 8.0 percent and 5.7 percent, respectively.
    The index for finished consumer goods, except foods and energy, increased 0.3 percent in May, after rising 0.4 percent in the preceding month. The index for finished consumer foods rose 0.8 percent in May following no change in the previous month.

    (BLS/DOL data from “Producer Price Indexes, USDL 08-0830,” released June 17, 2008; next release is July 15, 2008)
    http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/ppi.pdf

       

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Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) Index  (Updated)

  • In June 2008, the ISM index of manufacturing registered 50.2 percent, an increase of 0.6 percentage point when compared to May’s seasonally adjusted reading of 49.6 percent. An index above 50 percent indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally contracting.

  • Economic activity in the manufacturing sector grew in June following four months of contraction, while the overall economy expanded for the 80th consecutive month, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM Report On Business®.
    The changes in the components of the ISM index in June were: New Orders down 0.1%, Production up 0.3%, Employment down 1.8%, Supplier Deliveries up 1.4%, and Inventories up 3.2%.

U.S. Industries Reporting Growth in June 2008

  • Printing and Support Activities
  • Paper Products
  • Computer and Electronic Products
  • Petroleum and coal products
  • Chemical Products
  • Primary Metals
  • Furniture and Related Products
  • Fabricated Metals Products
  • Food, Beverage and Tobacco Products

    (Institute for Supply Management data released July 1, 2008; next release is August 1, 2008)
    http://www.ism.ws/ISMReport/MfgROB.cfm?navItemNumber=12942

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Prepared by
Office of Competition and Economic Analysis
Manufacturing and Services
International Trade Administration
U.S. Department of Commerce
(202) 482-3699

Links to Web sites outside the U.S. federal government or the use of trade, firm, or corporation names within the International Trade Administration Web sites are for the convenience of the user. Such use does not constitute an official endorsement or approval by the U.S. Commerce Department of any private sector Web site, product, or service.

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